Alan M. Gross, Ph.D.

AlanGross@AlanMGross.com

 

Summary of Qualifications

An experienced statistician, data analyst, financial analyst, forecaster, and modeler with formal education in Statistics and over 30 years in the telecommunications industry.

Areas of Expertise

Financial analysis, data analysis and statistics, market research analysis, graphical methods, data and telecommunications modeling, mobile/wireless modeling, demand forecasting, MS Office, Visual Basic programming with Excel, and the UNIX operating system.

Experience

During the 30 years between earning a Ph.D. in statistics in 1973 and being laid off by Telcordia Technology in March of 2003, Alan has been with Bell Laboratories and its successors. The following summarizes the progression of positions and company names, resulting in a current status as a free-lance consultant.

2003 to present Independent Statistical and Economic Analysis Consultant.

(7/2005 – 8/2005) Consulted along with SAIC on the reasons why the USDA’s Rural Utilities Service (RUS) broadband loan program was not lending as much money as had been hoped.  Hired as a temporary employee of Innovative Employee Solutions, an SAIC subsidiary.

(10/2004 – 6/2005) Consulted with Telcordia Technologies on 3 projects, the most extensive of which was developing a profitability model for a foreign local telephone company, including local service, long distance, mobile interconnection, etc.  Hired as a temporary employee of Rotator Staffing Services, East Brunswick, NJ.

(6/2004 – 9/2004) Consulted along with SAIC on a broadband technology project for the USDA, providing literature searches and summaries of the latest broadband technologies for rural America and the economic impact of those technologies.  Hired as a temporary employee of Innovative Employee Solutions, an SAIC subsidiary.

(10/2004) Consulted with Audio Research Laboratories, Scotch Plains, New Jersey, to calculate the correct statistics and develop the correct interpretation of the results of the MPEG4 codec experiments they had analyzed.

(10/2003 - 2/2004) Consulted with Audio Research Laboratories, Scotch Plains, New Jersey, to analyze data from 11 experiments conducted by the 3GPP committee of the European Telecommunications Standards Institute for selecting the best audio/music codec for the next generation of cellular phones.

(4/2003) Redeveloped economic analysis tools for economic analysis and risk analysis for use in consulting projects.

1997 to 3/2003

Senior Consultant, Business Optimization Services, Telcordia Technologies.

Developed client-specific solutions based on client needs. Typical projects included demand forecasting for new services, client-specific modeling of the financial viability of possible new services, and estimating the relative financial return of various possible strategies for the future. Services modeled ranged from POTS to mobile/wireless voice to mobile/wireless data to low- and high-speed data. This work resulted in the development of an internal modeling tool in Visual Basic which co-workers now use in their modeling work. Clients included incumbent telephone companies in Latin America, Europe, and the Middle East, as well as the U.S. Internally in 2002, modeled the benefits to potential buyers of most of Telcordia’s current, large software products. Other work included evaluating "cyberdistrict" readiness for three city governments and exploring better communications utilization and commercialization for 11 utility companies.

1992 to 1997

Member of Technical Staff (MTS) and Consultant; Market Analysis, Bell Communications Research (Bellcore).

Responsible for various statistics, data analysis, and financial analysis projects. Examples include

  1. financial analysis of proposed new services for the RBOCs (Bellcore’s owners at the time),

  2. estimation of levels of demand and speed mix for an international data carrier using logistic choice models,

  3. analysis of multiple years of the Yankee Group’s Technologically Advanced Family (TAF) survey, discovering that (at the time) two of every three new internet subscribers also added a second phone line.

1988 to 1992

Supervisor, Market Research and Analysis, Bellcore.

Supervised four people who were responsible for bringing UNIX and PC solutions to modeling efforts in the days when this was not common. This position was a transition back to more technical work, requiring more statistics and modeling knowledge than the previous position (below).

1982 to 1988

Supervisor, Computer Center, Bellcore (and Bell Laboratories before 1984).

Supervised between 6 and 15 people responsible for systems administration of Bellcore’s growing number of UNIX systems. Also responsible for the planning of all new system installations as the computer center grew from under 10 UNIX systems (VAX 11/70s) in one location in 1982 to over 50 UNIX systems in five locations in 1986 (large VAXes and 3B20s).

1978 to 1982

Supervisor, Computer Center, Bell Laboratories.

Supervised 3 to 5 people responsible for computer performance modeling and benchmarking. Designed and supervised the development of systems software for the computer center’s UNIX systems which enabled automated load monitoring.

1973 to 1978

Member of Technical Staff (MTS), Statistics Research, Bell Laboratories.

Researched new methods for data analysis and graphical analysis. Developed techniques for robust regression. Developed a portable random number generator, which would generate the same sequence of numbers on different computer hardware architectures. As the first "user community" of the S language, participated in selecting and evaluating new features.

Memberships and Honors

American Statistical Association Member

Telcordia 2002 CEO Award Recipient

National Science Foundation Fellowship Recipient

Merit Scholar

Education

Ph.D., Statistics, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, 1973

M.A., Statistics, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, 1969

B.A., Mathematics, Magna Cum Laude, Pomona College, Claremont, California, 1967

Publications

Numerous internal Telcordia Technologies and Bellcore reports.

Wasem, Ondria J., Gross, Alan M., and Tlapa, Gerald A. (1995) "Forecasting Broadband Demand Between Geographic Areas," IEEE Communications, 33, 2, 50-57.

Gross, Alan M. (1977) "Confidence Intervals for Bisquare Regression Estimates," Journal of the American Statistical Association, 72, 341-354.

Gross, Alan M. (1976) "Portable Random Number Generation," Programs for Digital Signal Processing, IEEE Press, S-11-12.

Gross, Alan M. (1976) "Confidence Interval Robustness with Long-Tailed Symmetric Distributions," Journal of the American Statistical Association, 71, 409-16.

Gross, Alan M. (1973) "A Monte Carlo Swindle for Estimators of Location, " Applied Statistics, 22, 3, 347-53.

Gross, Alan M. (1973) "Robust Confidence Intervals for Location in Symmetric Long-Tailed Distributions," unpublished Ph.D. thesis, Department of Statistics, Princeton University.

Gross, Alan M. (1973) "A Robust Confidence Interval for Location for Symmetric, Long-Tailed Distributions," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 70, 1995-7.

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